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http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/28972| Title: | Climate threats to coastal infrastructure and sustainable development outcomes |
| Authors: | Adshead, D Paszkowski, A Gall, SS Peard, AM Adnan, MSG Verschuur, J Hall, JW |
| Keywords: | climate-change adaptation;climate-change impacts;developing world;environmental impact |
| Issue Date: | 1-Mar-2024 |
| Publisher: | Springer Nature |
| Citation: | Adshead, D. et al. (2024) 'Climate threats to coastal infrastructure and sustainable development outcomes', Nature Climate Change, 14 (4), pp. 344 - 352. doi: 10.1038/s41558-024-01950-2. |
| Abstract: | Climate hazards pose increasing threats to development outcomes across the world’s coastal regions by impacting infrastructure service delivery. Using a high-resolution dataset of 8.2 million households in Bangladesh’s coastal zone, we assess the extent to which infrastructure service disruptions induced by flood, cyclone and erosion hazards can thwart progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Results show that climate hazards potentially threaten infrastructure service access to all households, with the poorest being disproportionately threatened in 69% of coastal subdistricts. Targeting adaptation to these climatic threats in one-third (33%) of the most vulnerable areas could help to safeguard 50–85% of achieved progress towards SDG 3, 4, 7, 8 and 13 indicators. These findings illustrate the potential of geospatial climate risk analyses, which incorporate direct household exposure and essential service access. Such high-resolution analyses are becoming feasible even in data-scarce parts of the world, helping decision-makers target and prioritize pro-poor development. |
| Description: | Data availability:
Data used in this study can be accessed at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10554713. Code availability: Code relevant to the analysis can be accessed at https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/tpjcxtl4j9m9ht0tl0ocq/NCLIM-23071599-code_final.zip?rlkey=ux7du7k4rkru352moob6quwwu&dl=0. Change history: 11 March 2024A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-01974-8 Acknowledgements: We acknowledge the Bangladesh Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management Team at the World Bank, in particular S. Kazi and I. Urrutia, for providing the synthetic household data and general support throughout the project. Any views expressed are not necessarily those of or endorsed by the World Bank. We also acknowledge support from the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), the Global Center on Adaptation (GCA), the Government of Bangladesh, and the Center for Environmental and Geographic Information Services (CEGIS) for assisting with access to data and in-country facilitation. We acknowledge imagery courtesy of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment), although the content of this publication is not endorsed by the United Nations or its officials or the Member States. |
| URI: | https://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/28972 |
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-01950-2 |
| ISSN: | 1758-678X |
| Other Identifiers: | ORCiD: Daniel Adshead https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0829-925X ORCiD: Amelie Paszkowski https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3199-0858 ORCiD: Sarah S. Gall https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4676-4519 ORCiD: Alison M. Peard https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3054-2612 ORCiD: Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7276-1891 ORCiD: Jasper Verschuur https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5277-4353 ORCiD: Jim W. Hall https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2024-9191 |
| Appears in Collections: | Dept of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research Papers |
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