Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/28141
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dc.contributor.authorCui, T-
dc.contributor.authorLi, Y-
dc.contributor.authorYang, L-
dc.contributor.authorNan, Y-
dc.contributor.authorLi, K-
dc.contributor.authorTudaji, M-
dc.contributor.authorHu, H-
dc.contributor.authorLong, D-
dc.contributor.authorShahid, M-
dc.contributor.authorMubeen, A-
dc.contributor.authorHe, Z-
dc.contributor.authorYong, B-
dc.contributor.authorLu, H-
dc.contributor.authorLi, C-
dc.contributor.authorNi, G-
dc.contributor.authorHu, C-
dc.contributor.authorTian, F-
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-31T16:58:30Z-
dc.date.available2023-12-01-
dc.date.available2024-01-31T16:58:30Z-
dc.date.issued2023-03-01-
dc.identifierArticle No.: 1176-
dc.identifierORCiD ID: Muhammad Shahid https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0771-4498-
dc.identifierORCiD ID: Fuqiang Tian https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9414-7019-
dc.identifier.citationCui, T., Li, Y., Yang, L. et al. (2023). 'Non-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levels' in Nature Communications. Vol. 14 (1)., pp.1 - 9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36804-6.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/28141-
dc.descriptionData Availability Statement - The MERIT DEM is available at http://hydro.iis.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~yamadai/MERIT_DEM/. The NDVI is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/climate-data-records/normalized-difference-vegetation-index.The LAI dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/climate-data-records/leaf-area-index-and-fapar. Department of Hydrology and Meteorology in Nepal for the Ganges is available at https://www.dhm.gov.np/request-data, and the Pakistan Water and Power Development Authority for the Indus are available at http://www.wapda.gov.pk. Soil hydraulic parameters are available at http://globalchange.bnu.edu.cn/research. The Watch Forcing dataset (WFD) is obtained from https://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/. The CMIP6 model outputs are available at https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/. The RGI data is available at http://www.glims.org/RGI/randolph60.html.The ice thickness datasets are available at https://doi.org/10.6096/1007. The glacier mass balance data are available at https://wgms.ch/data_databaseversions and https://www.sedoo.fr/theia-publication-products/?uuid=c428c5b9-df8f-4f86-9b75-e04c778e29b9. H08 data is available at https://www.isimip.org/. The World Gridded Population is available at https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/collection/gpw-v4. The results of this study are available as a supplement to this manuscript (Supplementary Dataset 1).en_US
dc.description.abstractPrevious projections show consistent increases in river flows of Asian Water Towers under future climate change. Here we find non-monotonic changes in river flows for seven major rivers originating from the Tibetan Plateau at the warming levels of 1.5 °C, 2.0 °C, and 3.0 °C based on an observation-constrained hydrological model. The annual mean streamflow for seven rivers at 1.5 °C warming level decreases by 0.1–3.2% relative to the present-day climate condition, and increases by 1.5–12% at 3.0 °C warming level. The shifting river flows for the Yellow, Yangtze, Brahmaputra, and Ganges are mostly influenced by projected increases in rainfall, but those for the Mekong, Salween, and Indus are dictated by the relative changes in rainfall, snowmelt and glacier melt. Reduced river flows in a moderately warmed climate threaten water security in riparian countries, while elevated flood risks are expected with further temperature increases over the Tibetan Plateau.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 92047301, 51825902, 51961125204, and 52109023), and the State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering (Grant Nos. 2022-KY-03). The Tibetan Plateau boundary is provided by National Tibetan Plateau Data Center (http://data.tpdc.ac.cn). L.Y. also acknowledges support from the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (0209-14380804) and the Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling Fund.en_US
dc.publisherNature Researchen_US
dc.rightsRights and permissions Open Access © The Author(s) 2023. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.-
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/-
dc.titleNon-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levelsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36804-6-
dc.relation.isPartOfNature Communications-
pubs.issue1-
pubs.publication-statusPublished-
pubs.volume14-
dc.identifier.eissn2041-1723-
Appears in Collections:Dept of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research Papers

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