Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/26446
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dc.contributor.authorWinkler, L-
dc.contributor.authorPearce, D-
dc.contributor.authorNelson, J-
dc.contributor.authorBabacan, O-
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-12T10:47:12Z-
dc.date.available2023-05-12T10:47:12Z-
dc.date.issued2023-04-24-
dc.identifierORCID iDs: Lisa Winkler https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6861-0046; Drew Pearce https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4533-1463; Jenny Nelson https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1048-1330; Oytun Babacan https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9141-8872.-
dc.identifier2357-
dc.identifier.citationWinkler, L. et al. (2023) 'The effect of sustainable mobility transition policies on cumulative urban transport emissions and energy demand', Nature Communications, 14 (1), 2357, pp. 1 - 14. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-37728-x.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/26446-
dc.descriptionData availability: The data generated in this study and used in Figs. 1, 3 and 4 and Supplementary Figures are provided in the Source Data folder. Source data are provided with this paper online at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-37728-x#Sec27..en_US
dc.descriptionCode availability: The code can be found at https://github.com/LisaOJWinkler/UTPM.-
dc.description.abstractCopyright © The Author(s) 2023. The growing urban transport sector presents towns and cities with an escalating challenge in the reduction of their greenhouse gas emissions. Here we assess the effectiveness of several widely considered policy options (electrification, light-weighting, retrofitting, scrapping, regulated manufacturing standards and modal shift) in achieving the transition to sustainable urban mobility in terms of their emissions and energy impact until 2050. Our analysis investigates the severity of actions needed to comply with Paris compliant regional sub-sectoral carbon budgets. We introduce the Urban Transport Policy Model (UTPM) for passenger car fleets and use London as an urban case study to show that current policies are insufficient to meet climate targets. We conclude that, as well as implementation of emission-reducing changes in vehicle design, a rapid and large-scale reduction in car use is necessary to meet stringent carbon budgets and avoid high energy demand. Yet, without increased consensus in sub-national and sectoral carbon budgets, the scale of reduction necessary stays uncertain. Nevertheless, it is certain we need to act urgently and intensively across all policy mechanisms available as well as developing new policy options.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipWe acknowledge the support of the Climate Compatible Growth programme, which is funded by UK aid from the UK government. However, the views expressed herein do not necessarily reflect the UK government’s official policies. L.W. and O.B. acknowledge Grantham Institute - Climate Change and the Environment at Imperial College London for their support. J.N. thanks the Royal Society for award of a Research Professorship. D.P. and J.N. acknowledge the support of the UKRI’s Strategic Priorities Fund. D.P., O.B. and J.N. acknowledge funding from Imperial’s EPSRC Impact Acceleration Account (award number EP/R511547/1) and funding from EPSRC (award number EP/T028513/1).en_US
dc.format.extent1 - 14-
dc.format.mediumElectronic-
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringer Natureen_US
dc.rightsCopyright © The Author(s) 2023. Rights and permissions: Open Access. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.-
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/-
dc.subjectenergy and behaviouren_US
dc.subjectenergy infrastructureen_US
dc.subjectenergy modellingen_US
dc.titleThe effect of sustainable mobility transition policies on cumulative urban transport emissions and energy demanden_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37728-x-
dc.relation.isPartOfNature Communications-
pubs.publication-statusPublished-
dc.identifier.eissn2041-1723-
dc.rights.holderThe Author(s)-
Appears in Collections:Dept of Social and Political Sciences Research Papers

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