Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/17432
Title: The State-Level Impact of Uncertainty Shocks
Authors: Mumtaz, H
Sunder-Plassmann, L
Theophilopoulou, A
Keywords: FAVAR;stochastic volatility;uncertainty shocks;regional effects
Issue Date: 5-Jun-2018
Publisher: Wiley
Citation: Mumtaz, H., Sunder-Plassmann, L. and Theophilopoulou, A. (2018) 'The State-Level Impact of Uncertainty Shocks', Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 50(8), pp. 1880-1899. doi: 10.1111/jmcb.12509.
Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of uncertainty shocks on real income growth in U.S. states. Our results suggest that the effect is heterogeneous. The magnitude of the decline in income is largest in states with a large share of manufacturing and construction industries, a larger share of small firms, a high fiscal deficit, a less rigid labor market, and a more volatile housing market. In contrast, a higher share of mining industries and larger intergovernmental fiscal transfers ameliorate the impact of uncertainty.
URI: https://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/17432
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12509
ISSN: 0022-2879
Appears in Collections:Dept of Economics and Finance Research Papers

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